Monthly Archives: October 2018

what happens to US natural gas supplies if this winter is as cold as 2014 was?

oil prices were lower for a third consecutive week as ​tumbling ​global financial markets overwhelmed concerns about the impact of US sanctions on Iran…after falling 3.1% to $69.12 a barrel on higher than expected oil supplies midst retreating markets last … Continue reading

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3rd quarter GDP, September’s durable goods and new home sales

The key economic release of the past week was the 1st estimate of 3rd quarter GDP from the Bureau of Economic Analysis; other widely watched releases included the advance report on durable goods for September and the September report on … Continue reading

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tables and graphs for October 27th

rig count summary: natural gas storage history:

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DUC wells at a record high, leading to a 6.5 month backlog of unfracked wells; rig count at a 41 month high nonetheless

oil prices were down for a second week and hit a one month low on Thursday, as trading on fundamentals gave way to geopolitical concerns arising from the Saudi orchestrated dismemberment and subsequent killing of Washington Post columnist and Saudi … Continue reading

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September’s retail sales, industrial production, new housing construction, and existing home sales; August’s business inventories and job openings

Major reports released this past week included Retail Sales for September and Business Sales and Inventories for August from the Census Bureau, Industrial production and Capacity Utilization for September from the Fed, the September report on New Residential Construction from … Continue reading

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tables and graphics for October 20th

rig count summary: average temperature summary: regional anomalies:

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tables and graphs for Oct 20th

retail sales:

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contra the EIA, we believe that US natural gas supplies will start this winter at a 15 year low; net oil imports at a 27 year low; distillates demand at a record high; Oct OPEC report

oil prices fell for the first time in 5 weeks on a pair of reports showing growing US oil stockpiles and on a broad based selloff in financial markets globally…after hitting a 4 year high and closing 1.3% higher at … Continue reading

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September’s consumer price and producer price indexes; August’s wholesale inventories

The key reports released this past week were the September Consumer Price Index, the September Producer Price Index, and the September Import-Export Price Index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which together give us most of the information needed to … Continue reading

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tables and graphs for October 13th

rig count summary: OPEC oil output: global oil output: global oil demand:

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